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aus+uk / uk.sci.weather / Re: [ CC ] Monitoring 'progress' to 2050/2100 : Global SST anomaly

[ CC ] Monitoring 'progress' to 2050/2100 : Global SST anomaly

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https://news.novabbs.org/aus+uk/article-flat.php?id=11650&group=uk.sci.weather#11650

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: [ CC ] Monitoring 'progress' to 2050/2100 : Global SST anomaly
Date: Sun, 27 Aug 2023 17:08:23 +0100
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by: N_Cook - Sun, 27 Aug 2023 16:08 UTC

Data from
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadsst4/data/download.html
selecting
HadSST.4.0.1.0_monthly_GLOBE.csv

Just this year data as quite dramatic considering on a global scale
23.0833,0.66273
23.1667,0.66657
23.2500,0.78990
23.3333,0.84818
23.4167,0.82701
23.5000,0.91882
23.5833,1.06450

SST anamoly wrt the 1961 to 1990 average.
Using 247 datapoints from 2003.0 to 2023.5833 to avoid the 10 year
recovery period of geodata post Mt Pinatubo eruption.
Using offline javascript curvefitter at statpages.info
and curve types linear (no acceleration), exponential (increasing
acceleration), quadratic (constant acceleration), indicial (falling
acceleration)
Best fit indicial and 6 figures retained for anyone else
repeating/checking this processing

y= 0.380015 +0.001325*x^1.807665
where y is Hadley SST anomaly in deg C and x is year minus 2000
Projected to 2050, +1.940949 deg C
to 2100, +5.844458 deg C

previous months processing for up to June 2023 data
y= 0.377054 +0.001667*x ^1.729662
Projected to 2050, 1.824424 deg C
to 2100, 5.177257 deg C

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

Re: [ CC ] Monitoring 'progress' to 2050/2100 : Global SST anomaly

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
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Subject: Re: [ CC ] Monitoring 'progress' to 2050/2100 : Global SST anomaly
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In-Reply-To: <ucfsdh$181hb$1@dont-email.me>

by: N_Cook - Sun, 27 Aug 2023 18:38 UTC

Subject	Author
[ CC ] Monitoring 'progress' to 2050/2100 : Global SST anomaly	N_Cook
[ CC ] Monitoring 'progress' to 2050/2100 : Global SST anomaly	N_Cook