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aus+uk / uk.sci.weather / Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?

SubjectAuthor
* Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?N_Cook
`* Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?Freddie
 `* Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?N_Cook
  `* Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?N_Cook
   `* Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?N_Cook
    `* Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?N_Cook
     `- Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK, for Lee read Nigel ?N_Cook

1
Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?

<ue13qi$35c1b$1@dont-email.me>

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?
Date: Fri, 15 Sep 2023 09:15:14 +0100
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 by: N_Cook - Fri, 15 Sep 2023 08:15 UTC

Going by ECMWF for 25-26 Sep 2023

https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-14-240.png?1

or a glitch as GFS/DWD etc are much more normal

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?

<98e5c019-5880-4e8d-8d12-b8b91c3d3881n@googlegroups.com>

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Subject: Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?
From: niall@hosiene.co.uk (Freddie)
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 by: Freddie - Fri, 15 Sep 2023 15:44 UTC

On Friday, 15 September 2023 at 09:15:18 UTC+1, N_Cook wrote:
> Going by ECMWF for 25-26 Sep 2023
>
> https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-14-240.png?1
>
> or a glitch as GFS/DWD etc are much more normal
>
> --
> Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
> <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
That's not Lee, that's Margot.

--
Freddie
Alcaston
Shropshire
148m AMSL
http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/
Stats for the month so far: https://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/statistics/alcaston/latest.xlsx

Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?

<ue20a0$3aopt$1@dont-email.me>

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?
Date: Fri, 15 Sep 2023 17:21:18 +0100
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: N_Cook - Fri, 15 Sep 2023 16:21 UTC

On 15/09/2023 16:44, Freddie wrote:
> On Friday, 15 September 2023 at 09:15:18 UTC+1, N_Cook wrote:
>> Going by ECMWF for 25-26 Sep 2023
>>
>> https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-14-240.png?1
>>
>> or a glitch as GFS/DWD etc are much more normal
>>
>> --
>> Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
>> <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
> That's not Lee, that's Margot.
>

What little is left of Margot is after tying itself up in knots mid
Atlantic.
The ECMWF overkill this morning was via Canada, disentangled here
https://www.cyclocane.com/

Unfortunately I've lost track of the multi model ident/codes page,
presumably NNIC is the ECMWF one

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?

<ue21m4$3b0jt$1@dont-email.me>

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?
Date: Fri, 15 Sep 2023 17:44:50 +0100
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: N_Cook - Fri, 15 Sep 2023 16:44 UTC

On 15/09/2023 17:21, N_Cook wrote:
> On 15/09/2023 16:44, Freddie wrote:
>> On Friday, 15 September 2023 at 09:15:18 UTC+1, N_Cook wrote:
>>> Going by ECMWF for 25-26 Sep 2023
>>>
>>> https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-14-240.png?1
>>>
>>> or a glitch as GFS/DWD etc are much more normal
>>>
>>> --
>>> Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
>>> <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
>> That's not Lee, that's Margot.
>>
>
> What little is left of Margot is after tying itself up in knots mid
> Atlantic.
> The ECMWF overkill this morning was via Canada, disentangled here
> https://www.cyclocane.com/
>
> Unfortunately I've lost track of the multi model ident/codes page,
> presumably NNIC is the ECMWF one
>
>
>

Ident/Code listing

http://tropicalatlantic.com/models/models.cgi?page=models

but no nearer , which one/s were ECMWF on cyclocane.com

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?

<ue52if$3vmh5$1@dont-email.me>

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?
Date: Sat, 16 Sep 2023 21:18:26 +0100
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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 by: N_Cook - Sat, 16 Sep 2023 20:18 UTC

On 15/09/2023 17:44, N_Cook wrote:
> On 15/09/2023 17:21, N_Cook wrote:
>> On 15/09/2023 16:44, Freddie wrote:
>>> On Friday, 15 September 2023 at 09:15:18 UTC+1, N_Cook wrote:
>>>> Going by ECMWF for 25-26 Sep 2023
>>>>
>>>> https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-14-240.png?1
>>>>
>>>> or a glitch as GFS/DWD etc are much more normal
>>>>
>>>> --
>>>> Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
>>>> <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
>>> That's not Lee, that's Margot.
>>>
>>
>> What little is left of Margot is after tying itself up in knots mid
>> Atlantic.
>> The ECMWF overkill this morning was via Canada, disentangled here
>> https://www.cyclocane.com/
>>
>> Unfortunately I've lost track of the multi model ident/codes page,
>> presumably NNIC is the ECMWF one
>>
>>
>>
>
> Ident/Code listing
>
> http://tropicalatlantic.com/models/models.cgi?page=models
>
> but no nearer , which one/s were ECMWF on cyclocane.com
>

Too sustained to be a glitch by ECMWF

https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-0-168.png?1

about 940mB central pressure and a surprisigly weak ridge of high
pressure apparently protecting the UK

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?

<ue6gkn$agtf$1@dont-email.me>

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK ?
Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2023 10:24:40 +0100
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 by: N_Cook - Sun, 17 Sep 2023 09:24 UTC

On 16/09/2023 21:18, N_Cook wrote:
> On 15/09/2023 17:44, N_Cook wrote:
>> On 15/09/2023 17:21, N_Cook wrote:
>>> On 15/09/2023 16:44, Freddie wrote:
>>>> On Friday, 15 September 2023 at 09:15:18 UTC+1, N_Cook wrote:
>>>>> Going by ECMWF for 25-26 Sep 2023
>>>>>
>>>>> https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-14-240.png?1
>>>>>
>>>>> or a glitch as GFS/DWD etc are much more normal
>>>>>
>>>>> --
>>>>> Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry
>>>>> data
>>>>> <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
>>>> That's not Lee, that's Margot.
>>>>
>>>
>>> What little is left of Margot is after tying itself up in knots mid
>>> Atlantic.
>>> The ECMWF overkill this morning was via Canada, disentangled here
>>> https://www.cyclocane.com/
>>>
>>> Unfortunately I've lost track of the multi model ident/codes page,
>>> presumably NNIC is the ECMWF one
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>> Ident/Code listing
>>
>> http://tropicalatlantic.com/models/models.cgi?page=models
>>
>> but no nearer , which one/s were ECMWF on cyclocane.com
>>
>
> Too sustained to be a glitch by ECMWF
>
> https://modeles3.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/run/ecmwf-0-168.png?1
>
> about 940mB central pressure and a surprisigly weak ridge of high
> pressure apparently protecting the UK
>

Looks like Hurricane Nigel is the one for ECMWF , more subdued for the
latest run , central pressure minimum about 965mB

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK, for Lee read Nigel ?

<ue733u$dlab$1@dont-email.me>

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From: diverse@tcp.co.uk (N_Cook)
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Subject: Re: Ex-Lee or Lee for the UK, for Lee read Nigel ?
Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2023 15:40:02 +0100
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 by: N_Cook - Sun, 17 Sep 2023 14:40 UTC

Still the US Navy model is the only one to give Nigel Benn enough heft
to punch through the high pressure.

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
<http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

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